Wednesday’s Storm – Rush Hour Problem & Sloppy Seconds

Al Mugno
By Al Mugno February 19, 2019 16:16

Peeps,

Tomorrow is going to a be nightmare rush hour again and it is a sloppy seconds storm since we had one last Tuesday. Why a slop storm? That is what it is called when we get all three or four wintry precipitation types of snow – sleet, graupel and freezing rain. Wonderful on the back to shovel of course.

Early Dismissals?? That is a good possibility for NNJ schools tomorrow.

Storm Details:

Start time from west to east 12 noon to 2PM ish

Snowfall Amounts – 1-3″, Maybe 2-4″ for NNJ if we can get lucky.

CNJ – 2-4″

Transition from snow to sleet around 5/6pm ish could be sooner if the  warm air gets in faster – its all about timing and hate to say it no one model sees this best.

RGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 310 PM EST Tue Feb 19 2019 NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-176>179-201000- /O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0006.190220T1700Z-190221T1100Z/ Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen- Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union- Eastern Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester- Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx- Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens- Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 310 PM EST Tue Feb 19 2019 …WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY… * WHAT…Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze expected. * WHERE…Portions of northeast New Jersey and southeast New York. * WHEN…From noon Wednesday to 6 AM EST Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS…Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

Expected Snowfall - Official NWS Forecast

SNOW amounts:

MAPS: 33& Rain compliments

Cut these down a bit due to poor snow growth, sleet and warm air infiltration iming

B9C3A457-6CAA-41B4-8851-F14526DE4B3B.gif
nam3km_2019-02-19-18Z_030_43.778_277.867

ICE – NG if it comes to fruition

zr_acc.us_ne.png

Ends as drizzle around midnighitish, early AM.

Then we warm into 50 degree range for teh weekend.

1st two weeks of March look to be cold then spring should be on the doorstep and we can put this what was once a very promising winter only to go to pieces behind us.

Updates to come.

Leave work early to miss what could be a bad evening commute.

Al Q

 

Al Mugno
By Al Mugno February 19, 2019 16:16

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