Heat, End of Summer?, Flo Joe
Related Articles
Peeps,
Heat- Madonne it has been and will be again manana (Yami just for you) very uncomfortable heat indexes and I know of one school that is calling an early dismissal for his – hmmmmm. since the second floor of my work place was about 95* today and some rooms were at the century mark – the heat will not abate (dissipate) but exasperate. So it will be even hotter tomorrow in the rooms. What a way to start the school year. Katie V. I am putting it out there and hopefuls the universe will bring it back fin time for us to have the same. If they don’t then I would go sit in their ac office and say “go work for an hour in my environment”.
END OF SUMMER
Yes it is coming and temps will be so comfortable Fri through Sunday with temps Sunday morning plummeting into the mid to upper 50’s wowza!!
It is just a taste of the process as the days get shorter and the nights longer. The fire put is ready for smores as is the sweatshirt peeps!! Home made Bailey’s will be coming real soon!!! Oh and summer will be back when not so sure but with the ocean temps so warm it will have an effect on our temps, this is again a reprieve and taste of fall. Windows open and walks outside this weekend.
FLO JO AKA Florence
The skinny – models are all over the place and are having an issue handling this storm – she has defied the odds and has become a major hurricane. Time frame for when she could affect the east coast is Sept 12-14th time frame at this time.
The EURO and GFS showed a destructive scenario for Va Beach through LI. I have and will continue to monitor with my prodigy K Dawg (PV wx Kevin as I call him) along with the three wx boards. This is anomalous set up with a massive block being forecasted due to tropical cyclone systems in the pacific and the very warm waters in the Atlantic that may both help strengthen and pump this ridge. If this scenario comes to fruition than we will be under the gun along the coast. There is a lot of time and it still could go out to sea but to my eye I am not seeing the weakness that will allow this to escape at this time. This is not wishful projection here or wish-casting but truth. Here is the maps from the EURO and GFS and very and I mean very educated and respected pro mets – not the ones on tv who have agendas – yes they do and don’t get me started – just look at Sandy when it wasn’t until Sunday they sounded the alarms. Just for your pleasure or displeasure but the peeps along the EAST COAST from South Carolina to LI needs and I mean need to pay close attention.
The Northeast is way overdue for a major hurricane hit – 1903 and 1935 were the last one – before that there 4 dating back to the early 1700’s as per captain logs, farmers and native Indian accounts.
When there's a hurricane approaching from the east, the last thing you want to see is a near-record ridge instead of a trough in SE Canada.
Too soon for track specifics, but it's increasingly hard for me to envision a scenario where Florence doesn't slow down near the E Coast. pic.twitter.com/1bSeWQ5jQv
— Tomer Burg (@burgwx) September 5, 2018
Amazing to see GFS and ECMWF models agreeing on a storm track sp far in advance…even by accident.
Actually track of #Florence is probably +/- 1000 miles
By the time we digest one model, there's always another coming …. pic.twitter.com/CajCa3k8t9
— Ryan Maue | weathermodels.com (@RyanMaue) September 5, 2018
GFS scary scenario
WINDS IN KNOTS – 1 knots = 1.15 mph
EURO – HUMINA HUMINA
The waters to feed Flo – red and rustic are very warm
Flo says:
My post this afternoon in the 21 minutes of free time:
There are a lot of moving parts at play here that stretch from the PAC through the NATL here guys. AS PB pointed out what the trough in the WC does, where it sets up and how strong it is coupled with the diabatic heat release, the strength of block – does it pumped by the warm waters of the NATL as JB has been harping on, and the global view of Europe and the PAC cyclones that are pumping enormous amounts of water vapor and humidity into the jet stream which will have downstream effects. This is all fascinating and the models will struggle immensely overall IMO.
She is quite compact and is forecasted to run into shear but that might not have as much as effect on her as we have sen her ability to ramp up. Maybe it will dissipate her, weaken her so she slides under the block and then gets pushed into the coast.
Time will tell but it is a concern for the coast to watch this.
Lots of time here.
A few more days to see what happens with this whole pattern evolution. When was the last time an AEW (African East Wave)made the trek across the Atlantic and slammed the EC as a major hcane? 1903? 1821?
Updates to come.
