HAPPY METEOROLOGICAL SUMMER!!, JUNE & HURRICANE FORECAST. El NINO?
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Peeps,
Today is the start of Meteorological summer and it surely feels like it with this humidity. June 1st is also the official start of the hurricane season even though I caused issues from the Gulf States up to the Great Lakes – I must say I was impressive (not the 1st time LOL!)
So far and this information comes from my man Tom Stavola that 2/3 of the days since March 1st have been cloudy (with a chance of meatballs – a good kids movie). Take your Vitamin D peeps since we have had a limited amount of sun the past three months if not you may look like this when you hit the beach:
or 
JUNE
So, what to expect for June? Well it will be wet to begin with and temps below normal as we have this upper level trough hanging over the area for the 1st week possibly longer into the second week. All of the heat is contained to the Midwest and Plains states through Texas. They will see temps soar into the triple digits. But after the second week of June we can see the temp rebound into the 90’s with humid conditions. This may last through until the end of June 1st week of July at this time.
The very warm waters of the Atlantic in the Western Atlantic and above the 30 parallel is going to help drive these humid conditions.
Wetness bring coolness so temps will have a tough time to hit baking type temperatures as we have witnessed the past few summers. We have a very wet spring so the moisture content will reduce temps but may increase teh humidity since the moisture will evaporate into the air raising the dew point and humidity levels. Temps in the low to mid 80’s with dew points an humidity levels at the 60-70% range or higher equals very uncomfortable conditions
June Temps – 1st half below normal
2nd half above normal
Precipitation = above normal
Hurricane Season
Hurricane Season = dud period. I started us off but the Main Development Region and the waters in the Tropical Atlantic are cold so we wont see any African wave trains of cyclones or Maria’s forming and ravaging the tropical islands. Yes we will have storms and most will form in close in the Gulf of Mexico and along the SE Coast (close in storms not 1000’s of miles away type) but overall with a El Nino looking to come back this will be a below normal year. Interestingly enough the North East if a storm forms as a coastal will have a chance of spawning into a cyclone due to the above normal water temps so this must be watched to a degree.
Waters off of Africa – wow did they tank cold!
The Tally of Storms:
Named Storms – 7 – 10
Hurricanes – 3-5
Major Hurricanes 1-2
Landfalls – 5
El Nino
A weak Modoki El Nino which means the waters off the South American Coast will be cold or colder than the waters in the mid tropical pacific will be warm. You can see the darker shad of orangey/red colors. This bodes well for snow and winter lovers like yuors truley! Oh and throw in low to nil solar and we could be off to a fast and long winter – only 119 days away LOL!
This is what this would equal for our winter – cold to very cold temperatures over the eastern 1/3 of America.
Here is the forecast.
Maps are courteous of WxBell.
