12-18-20 – Old School again – Review, Upcoming active cold pattern – Sunday Night? Tuesday? Xmas? New Years?

Al Mugno
By Al Mugno December 18, 2020 17:46

Peeps,

Peeps,

GRADE = B-(?)

Review – Every good teacher does a review each class with your students somehow someway and since it is my 29th year in this very rewarding profession that I think I have down I will share with you my review:

Well the great AL Q Storm Birthday of 12-16/17 MAY NOT have lived up to snowfall expectations in your or my backyard (called for 12-18”) BUT MOTHER OF GOD 50-100 miles from NNJ got absolutely HAMMERED!

From the National Weather Service (NWS) https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=202012171928-KOKX-NOUS41-PNSOKX

NEW JERSEY…

…BERGEN COUNTY…

FORT LEE                     10.1 IN   1100 AM 12/17   PUBLIC

EAST RUTHERFORD              9.5 IN    1030 AM 12/17   TRAINED SPOTTER

WESTWOOD                     9.3 IN    1020 AM 12/17    TRAINED SPOTTER

HILLSDALE                    9.0       10:30 am 12/17

AL Q     

1 SE OAKLAND                 8.0 IN    0800 AM 12/17   COCORAHS

2 NNW RAMSEY                 7.8 IN    1100 AM 12/17   PUBLIC

RIDGEWOOD                    7.3 IN    1000 AM 12/17   TRAINED SPOTTER

BERGENFIELD                  7.1 IN    0846 AM 12/17   TRAINED SPOTTER

DUMONT                       7.0 IN    1035 AM 12/17   BROADCAST MEDIA

FAIR LAWN                    6.5 IN    0852 AM 12/17   PUBLIC

FRANKLIN LAKES               6.3 IN    0800 AM 12/17   TRAINED SPOTTER

GLEN ROCK                    6.1 IN    1200 PM 12/17   PUBLIC

TENAFLY 1.3 W                5.8 IN    0730 AM 12/17   COCORAHS

1 NNW SADDLE BROOK           5.4 IN    1016 AM 12/17   COCORAHS

 

…ESSEX COUNTY…

NEWARK                       11.4 IN   0100 PM 12/17   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

2 NNE ELIZABETH              11.0 IN   0700 AM 12/17   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

1 NNE WEST ORANGE            7.5 IN    1040 AM 12/17   PUBLIC

CEDAR GROVE                  7.5 IN    1015 AM 12/17   PUBLIC

1 ENE NORTH CALDWELL         7.1 IN    0500 AM 12/17   TRAINED SPOTTER

1 N MONTCLAIR                7.0 IN    0800 AM 12/17   COCORAHS

1 W VERONA                   6.7 IN    0845 AM 12/17   COCORAHS

BELLEVILLE                   6.4 IN    0945 AM 12/17   TRAINED SPOTTER

1 SE MAPLEWOOD               5.6 IN    0800 AM 12/17   COCORAHS

 

…HUDSON COUNTY…

KEARNY                       10.5 IN   1137 AM 12/17   COCORAHS

HARRISON                     10.2 IN   1115 AM 12/17   TRAINED SPOTTER

1 NE EAST NEWARK             10.2 IN   1115 AM 12/17   CO-OP OBSERVER

 

…PASSAIC COUNTY…

1 WSW HALEDON                8.0 IN    0800 AM 12/17   COCORAHS

1 E PROSPECT PARK            6.5 IN    0700 AM 12/17   COCORAHS

LITTLE FALLS TWP 0.5 WNW     5.8 IN    0700 AM 12/17   COCORAHS

 

…UNION COUNTY…

ELIZABETH                    8.1 IN    0926 AM 12/17   TRAINED SPOTTER

UNION                        6.7 IN    0938 AM 12/17   PUBLIC

CRANFORD                     6.4 IN    0810 AM 12/17   TRAINED SPOTTER

PLAINFIELD                   6.0 IN    1000 AM 12/17   TRAINED SPOTTER

WESTFIELD 1.2 SE             5.6 IN    0700 AM 12/17   COCORAHS

NEW PROVIDENCE 0.8 ESE       4.5 IN    0800 AM 12/17   COCORAHS

 

…NEW YORK…

 

…BRONX COUNTY…

1 NE FORDHAM                 12.8 IN   1100 AM 12/17   PUBLIC

1 S EAST TREMONT             12.4 IN   0145 PM 12/17   TRAINED SPOTTER

1 NNE EAST TREMONT           12.1 IN   0200 PM 12/17   PUBLIC

1 W WOODLAWN                 10.5 IN   0630 AM 12/17   PUBLIC

1 ESE EAST TREMONT           10.1 IN   0630 AM 12/17   CO-OP OBSERVER

1 NW MOTT HAVEN              10.1 IN   0630 AM 12/17   CO-OP OBSERVER

1 SE WASHINGTON HEIGHTS      9.0 IN    0700 AM 12/17   PUBLIC

RIVERDALE                    6.7 IN    0700 AM 12/17   EMERGENCY MNGR

 

…KINGS COUNTY…

BAY RIDGE                    9.6 IN    1130 AM 12/17   EMERGENCY MNGR

1 W GREENPOINT               9.0 IN    1145 AM 12/17   PUBLIC

2 NE CONEY ISLAND            6.5 IN    0830 AM 12/17   TRAINED SPOTTER

1 SSW FLATBUSH               5.9 IN    0945 AM 12/17   BROADCAST MEDIA

CENTRAL PARK NYC MEASURED ……10” – WOW!!!

 

The Low pressure system passed as far North as Point Pleasant and then was blocked like the O line for the old 1990-91 Giants O line (Remember that team??) due to the High Pressure System over Quebec that was stronger than modelled. So what happened? Pure and simple it gained latitude further in the last 24 hours before the storm and brought the deadly dry slot with it which happens in every coastal storm. So around 10PM until about 1AM we were dry slotted so we have very light precipitation and actually had a change over to sleet for many in NNJ and NYC during this time frame. Then as the storm pulled away the cold air rushed back in and changed us back over to all snow. Here in H’dale it snowed until about 11AM.

12/16-12/17 Godzilla: Final Snow Map & Obsevations - Page 31 Daf83910

Areas about 50-150 miles away from us in the NYC Metro got clammed because there was no dry slot and they just poured snow. Even further away they got OBLITERATED with 3-4’ – Guerci Land – Rich and Carol, and Sarah M up in Albababany (Just made that up LOL!) She texted me, was a fav student and athlete of mine as is her bros Will, Fudge and the Bayou Brawler (not really) James!, and said have fun shoveling all that snow – then in a matter of 12 hours BAM! She received 24” – 27” .

 

SNOW MAP

12/16-12/17 Godzilla: Final Snow Map & Obsevations - Page 31 Oooof10

For SNOW PRINCESS AND QUEEN!!! IMAGINE THIS – AL Q………………FAINTS!

 

Upcoming active cold pattern – Sunday Night? Tuesday? Xmas? New Years?

Peeps no rest for the weary as we have a very active pattern upcoming with some small but refreshing possible snow events.

Sunday Night and again Tuesday BUT each storm really depends on the other. So Monday system we want to be a tad stronger and off the coast as is now being shown to a degree. This will drag the cold air in and take what we call the heights field off the coast – storm like to follow each other and this height field.

Snnday night Coating to .5″ possible at this time

GFS is a little stronger – good to see

IF we can have this – believe me I am trying to will this – then it may just set up a Tuesday light snow event and then…..wait for it…….a……snow event Xmas Eve after a very strong cold front with rain switched over to snow into Xmas morning!!!!!

Then again Dec 27-Jan 1st – we may see a bigger storm then – and longer term a few Nor’easters in January as the pattern is setting up.

Buckle up peeps going to be a bust few weeks! Updates to come.

Al Q

 

 

 

Al Mugno
By Al Mugno December 18, 2020 17:46

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